Inspectors noted the facility was extremely dirty with grease and food debris throughout the truck creating unsanitary conditions for food handling. The truck operator told Darcy Spears it was bad timing and the end of a busy day, making conditions seem worse than they were. He added that the family has not yet decided whether to re-open the food truck. It re-opened same day with a zero-demerit A grade. The manager did not return our call for comment. Louis and Sahara was shut down February 4 for for a multi-generational, multi-species cockroach infestation.
Utensils were stored in standing water, there was mold in the ice machine and heavy grease build-up on pipes, equipment, floors, foam and caulking. Health report for Fat Tuesday at the Miracle Mile shops. Would you like to receive local news notifications on your desktop? Yes please Not now. Local News Dirty Dining. Actions Facebook Tweet Email. Rat problem puts 99 Cents Only store on Dirty Dining. Updated: By: Darcy Spears. Bargain shoppers, listen up! And 13 Chief Investigator Darcy Spears has just one word for you The rodents also dined on dried beans and instant noodles.
But that's not enough when you have gaping holes in walls and missing ceiling tiles. They found no hot water and no sanitizer on the food prep line and no access to restrooms. Messages left for the manager were not returned. For that reason, year old Trea Turner , who didn't do much in , is worth having on your team mixed league bench, while year old J.
Hardy is probably not.
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Straight projections alone are not enough to inform a cheat sheet. You must know about a player's volatility and reliability. Translating Performance into Value. Once you've put together your projections for the entire player pool, you need to figure out how to turn that into a cheat sheet or list of dollar values.
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While it's pretty easy to see Miguel Cabrera 's projected stats put him near the top of your list, it's not obvious whether they're better than Andrew McCutchen 's, and if so, by how much. It's also not immediately evident whether a. The problem of comparing players relative to the overall player pool and across categories isn't something we can solve by eyeballing it. Value Over Replacement — This is the margin by which a player is better than those who are freely available on the league's waiver wire.
In other words, if you're in a team mixed league that starts 14 offensive players, that means the top offensive players are starting at any given time. Because the th player might be a steals specialist with no power, or a big power bat who hits. As such, any starter's value is determined by the extent to which his stats exceed or fall below these benchmarks again assuming these are the numbers you came up with for your league parameters. Once we subtract out replacement value stats from all of the hitters on our list, we now have their real stats insofar as they inform our values.
A player like Ben Revere might be projected for 1 HR, and thus his true home run total is -9 for purposes of his value. But this still doesn't help us answer the original question as to whether a. Essentially, we're asking which stat is a bigger outlier relative to the player pool, i. For that we need our second concept: Standard Deviation. Standard Deviation — this measures the average amount the data points, i. For example, if the average number of homers in the usable player pool is 15, and the player pool consists of four players, two with 20 HR and two with 10 HR, then the standard deviation is five HR.
But if the average were 15, but there were two players with 30 and two with zero, then the standard deviation would be As you can see, in the former case, the data points are more clustered together, and in the latter, they're further apart. This has implications for the value of stat-lines because in a case where the data points are clustered together, e.
The standard deviation for that player pool was fairly small. But Babe Ruth led the league in HR that year with 59! You can see what Ruth would do for your fantasy team in that context - he'd win homers for you virtually all by himself. Looked at in terms of standard deviation and value above replacement, we can see why this is. If we say replacement value was roughly five homers, then Ruth had 54 homers above replacement.
And if the standard deviation was about four, then Ruth was a whopping Had the players been less clustered together, and the standard deviation were 10 HR, then Ruth would have been "only" 5. The more clustered together the data points are, the bigger the impact of the rare outliers.
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We can do this for every player in every category, figuring out his outlier-ness both positive and negative in each and add up the true extent to which he helps or hurts your team. Which brings us back to the original question: Is 28 HR above replacement worth more than 75 points of batting average in at-bats let's assume at-bats is the average number of at-bats in the pool so we don't need to make a volume adjustment? The answer depends on what the standard deviation is for each category. Using the RotoWire projections from it was about nine for HR, and about 18 points for batting average.
Based on those numbers, the 28 homers is 3. Clearly, given these ballpark replacement levels and the RotoWire projections, the batting average would be worth substantially more than the HR. Sticking with Cabrera's projection last year's will work just fine to illustrate the point and saves me a lot of busy-work , he'd be about 20 HR, 58 RBI, 39 runs, -7 steals and 56 points of batting average in at-bats roughly 1.
So we go down the line and add up his contributions in each category. That brings it to 4. When you add it up, Cabrera's projection got you 2. We can compare that number to that of every other player in the league, e. Now we have a basis for our cheat sheet, i. To generate dollar values for an auction, there are a couple further steps.
You'll probably end up with a result like 3. Then you multiply each player's score by 3. Volatility — We discussed this earlier, and of course, it applies here. Carlos Correa 's projection is worth roughly the same as Anthony Rizzo 's this year, but Rizzo is probably the safer bet to live up to it, given his longer track record. So while Correa is the superior talent with an off-the-charts ceiling, early in your draft with your most expensive investment , you might opt for stability over upside. I happen to believe in Correa, but he's surely a volatile pick in the first round.
On the lower end of the pool, the consideration is just the opposite. A player might even have a negative dollar value taking into account his lack of prospective playing time, but his 90thth percentile seasons are so valuable you spend several dollars to acquire him. Translating Performance into Value without Projected Stats — Having said all this and done all the math, I generally don't rely on projections to evaluate players. I do the research and aggregate the disparate factors into a slot on my cheat sheet. Having done enough auctions and drafts, I have a pretty good idea of what different stat lines are worth without crunching the numbers for each one, and I also know that each statline is based on a fictional rendering of the season and is usually not much more scientific than my placement of a player in a cheat-sheet slot.
Moreover, I'm not wedded to my cheat sheet order when the auction or draft starts — I might take my No. And even if you were to automate those factors — park effects for gap-hitting lefties that are , and score a 65 on the power scale, adjust it for a player's schedule, his historical comps for age-related career arc, you're making a lot of choices on the inputs that are imprecise.
And even to the extent your model gained precision over time and backtested its results, there's no guarantee your conscious aggregation of the factors that comprise value will be better than the unconscious snap assessment of an experienced and open-minded evaluator — at least not without the conditions of baseball remaining static while you collect a larger sample of data over the next couple decades.
But I'm open to being proved wrong on this point. The bottom line — there's no substitute for gathering all the material facts you can find about a player, but how you translate those to a dollar value or cheat sheet is up to you. If you prefer to have the discipline of a cheat sheet based on projected stats, it's important to compare those stats to the replacement-value baseline and then to see what those results are worth based on their prospective categorical impact.
A good way to measure that is by seeing how many standard deviations they are above the baseline. Next up, we'll talk about the actual building of your team. Assuming you've read the other sections above, you know the player pool, have a good idea of what each player's prospective numbers are worth and have a good grasp of your league parameters.
What's left is to execute on that understanding in your snake draft or auction. The strategy for the first rounds of every draft depends somewhat on where you're slotted. Subjective Rankings vs. Average Draft Position ADP — You're going to have opinions on particular players, some of which are in line with market value, and some which are not. If the goal is to get the best players for their draft slots, then your opinion is the numerator who you think the best players are while market value is the denominator what those players cost. As such, you need not only to have a good grasp of what players will do, but also what their going rate is.
My philosophy in a draft as opposed to an auction is to be aggressive. Take the players you think are best in a given round, so long as you're pretty sure they won't come back to you in a subsequent one. Don't worry about getting the player with the highest ADP for its own sake. ADP is useful only insofar as it tells you when you can wait until the next round on a player. The only way you can "reach" for a player, i. Otherwise, always take the player you expect to be the best on the board for your team, irrespective of how the market values him.
League Depth — The depth of your league, i. In shallower leagues, e.
As such, the difference-makers are mostly elite players, and merely productive players are only marginally valuable. In that case, you'll want to aggressively draft players with the maximum possible upside, like Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton , earlier than usual even if their downsides are steep. You can always find adequate replacements, so there's a smaller penalty if they don't pan out. In deeper mixed leagues, or especially "only" leagues, the equation changes dramatically.
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The waiver wire is thinner, and blandly productive players like Hunter Pence and Adrian Gonzalez are actually significant upgrades from what's freely available. In that case, you should focus more on a player's floor than his ceiling - at least until you get into the later rounds. If a player doesn't pan out, he is not easily replaced, and missing on middle-round picks is more costly. First Round — The first round sets the tone for your draft, largely determining the base of your categorical and positional strengths and weaknesses.
Each slot is different, but for the sake of simplicity, let's divide it into early, middle and late positions. This could be slots or even depending on the depth of the elite player pool. In early position, my preference is largely to ignore position scarcity and get a player who will deliver you massive stats in four — or preferably five — categories - even if that player is a pitcher. Wherever one falls on the positional scarcity question generally, I especially don't think it's a good idea to worry about it early in the first round where the per-pick drop-off in value is greatest.
If you're going to draft a shortstop in the first three picks, it better be one like Hanley Ramirez circa where his projected stats merit the selection apart from the slot he fills on your roster. Consider the positional scarcity a bonus. This is after the initial drop-off from the consensus top group - picks in some seasons or later as the case may be - where the non-elite first rounders are roughly interchangeable.
My feelings are more or less the same as in early position, but you won't get quite as much across-the-board production. You typically want a rock solid 3. This is usually the last picks of the first round. You'll usually have the choice of an upside player with less experience Carlos Correa , a more modest five category producer Andrew McCutchen , a superstar coming off a down or injury-marred year Miguel Cabrera or another top pitcher Max Scherzer. Of course, where you'd be willing to take a pitcher will change depending upon the era and the degree to which a pitcher is an outlier — in the early 's, for example, Randy Johnson and Pedro Martinez were perennial top-five picks and well worth it, and Kershaw certainly earned his early draft slot the last few years.
I don't have a problem with any of these choices. Playing it safe with McCutchen , for example, isn't my style, but there's a case to be made that you shouldn't gamble on a pick where you have the most to lose. I'd rather take a player on the rise late in the first round like Correa or Mookie Betts where there could be another level than a reliable one at his late peak. And taking a pitcher can work, but you might have to forgo subsequent pitching bargains as you catch up on hitting if the entire league — as many do — devalues pitching. Rounds — Some people like to get 70 homers and 70 steals in the first three rounds, while others like to get two hitters and one elite pitcher.
Still others try to shore up scarce positions and fill in later with more plentiful outfield and pitching options. I subscribe to none of these rules, preferring to go best available player for three rounds, no matter what that looks like. To me, Rounds are simply about maximum stat gathering, and shoring up weaknesses is something you do later in the draft and during the regular season via waiver wire and trades.
Many leagues force you to draft your entire starting roster before you can take a reserve. In cases like this, you'll want to maintain as much roster flexibility as practicable. That means if you have four outfielders by Round 8, you probably don't want to take a fifth OF in Round 9 unless he's the best player available by a decent margin because doing so cuts you off from future OF bargains. Unless you want to use your utility spot which limits your flexibility further. Likewise, getting two first basemen early cuts you out of potential first and third base bargains later in the draft by filling up your corner slot.
You don't want to take this too far — at some point, you'll necessarily be locked out of certain positions. But all things being equal, it's better to have one 1B and one 3B with your corner open, and one second baseman and one shortstop with your MI open for the maximum ability to capitalize on bargains. Whereas your first few picks are about getting the most overall stats, the middle rounds are about balancing out your categorical strengths and weaknesses. In a no-trade format like the NFBC , this is even more important as you can't easily convert a surplus into value later in the year.
In a trading league - so long as people are reasonable - you can come out of your draft with four closers or nine starters or a team with tons of power and too little speed. By season's end, you'll want balance as you don't get extra credit for margin of victory across the categories, but it doesn't matter when you get your numbers. If you have nine starting pitchers and accumulate huge surpluses in wins and strikeouts by July, you can trade for five closers and get all of your saves in August and September.
Again, it doesn't matter when you get your numbers, only that you get them at some point. Just keep in mind there's not always a perfect trade fit for your team, so you'll often have to pay a premium to re-align the categories later in the year. Positional Scarcity — Jeff Erickson and I discussed this topic in detail two years ago:.
There are three types of players that are scarce one can make an argument for third base and even outfield where you need five of them, but both are more marginal these days :. Because you typically need one second baseman, one shortstop and one middle infielder, and second base and shortstop are comparably scarce, plan to draft 1. For example, in a team league, expect roughly 18 second basemen and 18 shortstops to be drafted, making players the rough baseline at the positions.
All stats being equal, always take the middle infielder over the OF or first baseman, but don't give up a significant amount of production just to fill a middle infield slot. If you're going to attach a significant premium to a scarce position, the place to do it is at catcher — at least in standard leagues that require you to carry two of them.
In one-catcher Yahoo! Even in a team mixed league, you're going 24 catchers deep, and that means the back end of the draft will have either catchers who produce very little or ones who hit for some power but harm your batting average. In team mixed leagues, the back-end of the pool is even more stark. You don't necessarily need to get the top catchers on the board — often those are overpriced given the elevated injury risk and limited upside at the position — but you might want to get two competent ones who contribute without hurting you. Closers are unique in that they're the only players in the pool who get you saves.
You can punt catchers and middle infielders so long as your other offensive players carry you in the five hitting categories, but no matter how good your starting pitching is, it can never help you in saves. In leagues where you can tank categories and still win, there's a point at which you can forgo closers, but in most leagues - where the teams at the bottom quit, and teams at the top are strong across the board — you're probably going to have to acquire saves at some point. It's worth being aware of how common each stat category is for your format.
For example, in team mixed leagues, the average offensive starter had roughly 77 runs, 20 homers, 74 RBI, 12 steals and batted. That means steals were the most scarce commodity on offense, though cheap speed is available late because it comes divorced from other categories. There's not much cheap power late unless you're willing to take on a crippling batting average because it's connected to RBI and runs.
On the pitching side, the prevalence of relievers no one uses who outperform starters like Rick Porcello and Andrew Cashner who many people used makes it hard to come up with reliable averages that and the fact that the distribution of starters and relievers varies roster by roster. By looking at the last years of your league results, you can get a sense of how many homers, RBI, runs, steals, wins, etc.
So if home runs is typically good for fourth place, and your projections have you at homers through Round 20, you might want to take a stolen base specialist instead of potential power hitter late.
Personally, in trade leagues, I don't mind having a surplus, and in any event, your projections might not be accurate, there will be injuries, and you'll get more than you think out of your last few roster spots if you stay active. But it can't hurt to have an idea of what it takes to perform well in each category. In other words, there's very little downside if they don't pan out. So it's important to take players whose best-case scenarios are useful to you even if they're not guaranteed to have jobs.
In fact, if you were to do minimal preparation for your draft and simply downloaded a projections-based cheat sheet, you would still need to identify the upside plays in the middle and late rounds so you're not simply ceding all the potential sleepers to more knowledgeable drafters. Just because Ryan Braun is slated to be back by Opening Day from his back injury doesn't mean he'll steal 20 bases again this year. Yu Darvish will be farther down everyone's cheat sheets than usual as he's slated to miss a month or so.
But in a shallower league, where you're likely to have a productive pitcher to slot in his place, and one where you can stash players on the DL, he's worth a look in the middle rounds. When you add the replacement stats you get from streaming to Darvish's stats for the rest of the year should he resemble his former self , he should be a difference-maker for you. In a deeper league where you'd lose out almost entirely on Darvish's missed starts or where you can't stash him on the DL, and he clogs a roster spot , the cost of carrying him would be more significant, dropping his value a few rounds.
End Slots vs. Middle Slots — Earlier I broke down the draft into early, middle and late slots, but one could also break it down to "end slots," "middle slots" and "in between. The middle would be , and the in-between would be 3, 4, 9 and On the end slots, you pick twice in a row or in the span of four picks , and then you wait a long time for the draft to get back to you. The advantage is that you can plan two picks at a time, and the disadvantage is you can miss out on long catcher or closer runs, as you're essentially waiting two rounds before you pick again.
The middle slots are more likely to get in on positional runs, but have to wait an entire round after every pick. The "in between" slots have elements of both. There's no hard and fast rule about how to draft from the various slots, but it does very much affect the results. One tip I'd have for the end slots is not to panic if you miss out on a run of good closers and simply take a mediocre one to make sure you get saves.
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Sometimes where you're slotted cuts you out of a certain strategy, and your best bet is to change course and take the best available player even if it's a starting pitcher, and you're already strong in pitching. Never be bullied into taking a player you think is a poor value at that slot. Instead, embrace your fate by taking the best player even if it costs you roster balance at the time. Admittedly this is a tougher call in no-trade leagues like the NFBC, but that just means you might have to jump into the closer pool earlier if you're on the ends.
While drafts are about being aggressive - more so even than you might be comfortable with - auctions are usually about patience and often excruciating discipline. While you can still target the players you like, you have to be willing to let them go when the bidding gets too high, and you have to be willing to wait as long as necessary for bargains to arrive assuming the bargains aren't available early as is sometimes the case. Mixed Leagues — Most mixed leagues are drafts, but when they're auctions, you need to realize how much higher replacement value is and therefore how much more valuable superstars are.
Never use AL-only dollar values for your mixed-league auction. Even players on the waiver wire often have full-time jobs in team or fewer mixed leagues. Only leagues — In only leagues, one can still buy superstars, but one must be much more careful about running out of money as even mid-level players like Jhonny Peralta and Adam Lind offer significant value over replacement.
In only leagues, the freely available talent pool is nearly zero — the waiver wire has a few punchless back-up catchers, middle infielders, low-end No.